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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum
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To: Gersh Avery who wrote (4527)6/14/1998 2:54:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
Gersh, you are right, except with the assumption that the FED's target is 5.5% for the long bond. I think that the Fed next move will be lowering the rates rather than increasing them. Right now the FED's are overly restrictive with real interest rates at close to 4%, these should be at between 2% to 3%. Since the PPI is actually declining, the FED's rightfully have kept ample ammunition to reduce rates, in the event that a financial accident causes the possibility of a calamity. Greenspan will be there lowering those rates in a hurry, if he sees any signs of deflation or for that matter more than a 20% correction in the market, IMHO.

Zeev
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