Lucent, Cisco Take Lead In Gear Battle
Date: 6/16/98 Author: Reinhardt Krause
Northern Telecom Ltd.'s move to buy Bay Networks Inc. will give it more muscle to battle the two Godzillas in its field - Lucent Technologies Inc. and Cisco Systems Inc. (See related story, previous page.)
But speed, not size, may matter most in the communications slugfest, analysts say.
Equipment suppliers are locking horns to win big orders from phone companies. These customers are upgrading their networks to carry voice, data and Internet traffic more efficiently. And quickly adapting to the fast-changing gear market is crucial for equipment makers.
In early June, Bell Atlantic Corp. named Lucent as a supplier of advanced gear. At the same time, Sprint Corp. chose Cisco instead of its traditional supplier, Nortel.
Lucent, Cisco and Nortel are racing to lock up key technologies.
''Nortel didn't want to lose a prize acquisition to Lucent, their sworn enemy,'' said Douglas Smith, an analyst with Salomon Smith Barney.
It's questionable whether Nortel, even with Bay, will have all the pieces to compete against Lucent and Cisco for the Internet-based networking gear that carriers crave, says Christine Heckart, an analyst at Boston-based TeleChoice Inc.
''Bay was having trouble living up to the many promises it made to customers over the past year,'' she said. ''Now that becomes Nortel's problem.''
Lucent was spun off from AT&T Corp. in '96. It racks up more than three times the annual sales of Cisco, the largest maker of networking gear. Nortel, the No. 2 maker of phone gear, is about half the size of Lucent.
Nortel and Lucent face hurdles in competing against Cisco. Silicon Valley-based Cisco is used to faster product cycles and market shifts than those experienced by companies in what until recently had been the staid telephone field.
But Lucent is adapting.
''We're stepping up to the speed challenge,'' said William O'Shea, Lucent's group president of data networking systems.
Murray Hill, N.J.-based Lucent has revved up its acquisitions machine. It's also pushing products out the door more quickly from its Bell Labs research arm.
In late April, Lucent said it's buying Yurie Systems Inc. for about $1 billion. Yurie makes high-speed switches that carry voice, data and video over a network. Switches are devices that move data along networks.
''We put together (the) acquisition of Yurie in 3 1/2 weeks from first discussion to signed contract,'' O'Shea said. ''And we developed our new (PacketStar) switch from research to complete product in less than 12 months.''
Lucent's PacketStar goes head to head against high-end network routers from Cisco and Ascend Communications Inc. These routers send voice and data traffic over networks using Internet technology.
San Jose, Calif.-based Cisco's strong suit is networking equipment that works with Internet technology. It is supplying high-speed routers, for example, to Denver-based Qwest Communications International Inc., which is building a Net-based fiber-optic network.
''Cisco has had a leg up in having technology that carriers want and that other vendors need,'' said Paul Johnson, an analyst with BancAmerica Robertson Stephens.
But Lucent's Internet-based PacketStar switch will one-up Cisco, claims O'Shea. ''The real action is providing customers with assured, multiple levels of quality of service,'' he said.
MCI Communications Corp. started using Lucent's PacketStar switch in a trial this month. Lucent expects to start selling the switch by September.
Phone companies are buying large routers and switches to send voice and data traffic over networks. Lucent, Nortel and Cisco are working to come up with more offerings.
''They'll meet in the middle someplace to provide broadband switching capabilities,'' said Fred Briggs, MCI's chief engineering officer.
Yet, traditional suppliers of phone system gear - Lucent, Northern Telecom and L.M. Ericsson Telephone Co. - find they must fight hard against computer networking companies.
For example, Sprint this month named Cisco as main supplier for its Integrated On-Demand Network, even though Sprint has worked closely with Nortel. Lucent also wanted the contract. ION is the high-speed network Sprint this month said it will build. It will transmit phone calls, video and Internet access over the same pipe.
''What stands out in Sprint's announcement is that it turned to Cisco and said, 'You're the company that really gets it,' '' said Steven Levy, a Salomon Smith Barney analyst.
Sprint is basing ION on asynchronous transfer mode technology. ATM networks transmit data, voice and video at high speeds.
While Cisco has expertise in building ATM networks, other factors also played into Sprint's decision.
''We found their (Cisco's) consistency of vision and interest in using speed -doing things in a hurry as an advantage - to be important characteristics,'' said Sprint President Ronald LeMay.
Lucent had better luck with Philadelphia- based Bell Atlantic.
The Baby Bell last week said it plans to spend about $500 million over five years to carry Internet and data traffic over a new long-distance network. About $200 million of that is going to Lucent. Work is slated to start in July.
Bell Atlantic also is relying heavily on ATM switching gear.
For carriers, the competition between makers of phone equipment and computer networking gear is good news. The rivalry will drive down prices, say company executives.
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