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Technology Stocks : Identix (IDNX)

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To: Rob C. who wrote (8871)6/19/1998 11:35:00 AM
From: David  Read Replies (2) of 26039
 
Rob,

I'm guessing (and I'll bet you're guessing, too) that the price gravitates today to the $5 strike price. For me, that means I am buying again. I don't really care if the price might go lower in the next week or month, since after a couple of more reported quarters, I expect it to be a lot higher than today. And next year, higher again, and so on. If anyone knew the precise bottom and top of a stock, they would be richer than Bill Gates.

As far as anyone knows, revenues continue to increase at a rapid rate. If money is not hitting the bottom line, and if there is all that money at the top line, than management has decided this for a strategic reason. But I would think that this quarter, at least, management would want as much money to hit the bottom line as possible, given the problems last quarter and the present low stock price. We hear almost nothing out of IDX, and this is probably a result of the Lerach lawsuit inhibiting communications with stockholders. The last thing they want is another one of those.

With a $5 price, the market is assuming that IDX will be making not much profits next year. The stock is down to 1995 levels, in fact, despite greatly increased revenues and improved industry fundamentals. I don't believe in the perfect market theory. Sometimes a stock is too low, and sometimes it is too high. This stock looks too low to me.

David

PS -- I had been on the Yahoo! IDX thread as "boi568", but that episode is over. The Yahoo posters don't seem to provide very many facts to support their opinions, and a few of them just like to attack other people for the sport of it. What's the point of that?
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