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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 254.72+0.9%3:59 PM EST

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To: Ramsey Su who wrote (20595)6/19/1998 3:06:00 PM
From: Teri Skogerboe  Read Replies (3) of 70976
 
Ramsey,

Re: "On the other hand, when staff reduction are necessary because there is a lack of business, it is a disaster."

I agree that it is at a minimum not at all good for near-term prospects. And you're right, it is so amazing to me that so many different interpretations of company announcements can be made. And the fact that very intelligent people can honestly and vehemently argue their case that the US market is either a buy or a sell. Your comments were very interesting, and I tend to agree with everything you said. My time is very limited this week, so I am constantly posting in a rush. Another thing, there was a post on the Blood thread earlier in the day (I believe) that said TSMC was cutting CapEx by $300M, I believe this is the correct figure.

An example about different interpretations, when I read Jtech's post yesterday that included this comment, "also, asia in perspective-GE HAS BIGGER MARKET VALUE THAN THE WHOLE ASIA EXCLUDING JAPAN."

This was my off-the-cuff, immediate reaction....

There are those who would say that Jtech has just described an excellent reason that Asia is a screaming buy and US stocks are a sell. Is GE really worth more than ALL of the Asian companies combined? So much of market valuations are based on the prevailing sentiment and let's face it, America is in a major love affair with US stocks. There is an old Wall Street adage that goes something along these lines... "When cash is trash, cash will soon be king."

Further, market value can change in a very big hurry. Asia represents one-third of world GDP and ~ two-thirds of the world's population. I'm very stale on my population facts, so, someone may need to correct this comment (if anyone cares). But bottom line is that many of Asia's markets have been trounced to the point that they have wiped out 10-12 years of gains, so maybe a comparison of market values is out of place, or at a minimum, when I make these comparisons, I end up thinking that if Asia can get its act together, it's a screaming buy. the big "if".

So many ideas, so little time -g-.

Teri

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