John; The problem with that guys thinking is he doesn't consider that the cost of getting gold out of the ground is much less labor intensive than it was. There are just to many proven un-mined reserves now that if the gold price were to pop to even $400, there would be a flood of new gold hitting the market in short order.
Silver bounced on the Buffet news, hell the news was old stuff before it was released. Any body with a drop of sense who could short silver when it went above $7 made out like a bandit. Man there was a rush to dump silver , the reported reserves are nothing compared to the unreported reserves, held by both mines and millions and millions of small speculators.
The same with Gold, look at all the TONS of gold just the Korean citizens turned in to help out their government ( the saps ). And that is not even a drop in the bucket to the amount the Japanese or American citizens hold. Take the cold coins that are minted by Africa, and Canada and add up the sales just over the last 3 years. Well all that is reserves that are sitting in safety deposit boxes, and hidden under mattresses all over the world , and is not calculated as "known" reserves. Add that to what the mining companies would do if gold were to pop, and you can see this guy with his $3000 price an ounce is out of his ever loving mind.
Privet ownership of gold has reached such levels that banks and Governments that think they can leverage up using gold will get creamed. They may scalp a few points at times but what he suggests is really wild.
He is likely a seller just trying to appeal to the greed of some people that they will get rich off of gold.
Holding some gold is like having some insurance, but keep in mind insurance is not free. I was a silver buyer years ago when it dropped to it's lows at about $3.75 , in holding it all those years if I compare the investment to what I would have made in simple CDs with compound interest I lost money. But I did have insurance during that time and if the U.S, would have crumbled I would have in that respect made money BUT as I explained to my wife and close friends I hoped I would not see it go way up The reason for that is IF gold or silver were to rocket up..you can bet every thing else will take a big hit. What would run it up ( inflation ), would at the same time kill the buying power of every thing else you have, and all your basic needs would cost so much more that what ever you made off the gold or silver would be eaten up.
It's just insurance , hoping to get rich off it is like shooting yourself in the foot. I still play gold a little but now like most others I just try to scalp a few points from time to time.
I have since decided the best insurance is having good friends, and owning some ( paid for ) local real estate in a low tax area. I dumped all my silver not long ago. You might say I made a profit , but not if you look at what it cost me to hold it. Jim PS. Money be dammed, "you are never any more secure than your closest friend " --- dig up Caesar and ask him if I'm not right. |