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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets
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To: Chip McVickar who wrote (267)6/24/1998 4:03:00 PM
From: Jerry in Omaha  Read Replies (1) of 3536
 
Chip,

<<The fate of human societies as studied from historical economics
is a field which has lost most of its following. It is also very
difficult intellectual task. That is to find correlations in the
movement of human society.>>

The interesting thing about Diamond's book is the notable lack of arm
chair theorizing; the dude knows his field. Jared Diamond is an
evolutionary biologist who studies bird populations around the world,
but mostly in New Guinea. I believe that you will find his book to be
a refreshing break from any notions you may indulge with respect to
old mental tools like historical economics. Perhaps it deserves to be
moved to the top of your "must read" list.

Even though contemplation of a "Science of History" may appear to be a
losing proposition of a postmodern reconstruction of the old SciFi
notion of "Psychohistory," or the prediction of the certainty
of the future as a function of the acquisition a critical information
threshold as was propounded by Isaac Asimov, in his famous work the
Foundation Trilogy, it most certainly is not. Diamond's book has
forehead-smacking obviousness to it and adheres to ancient instructions
found in the Ta Chuan / The Great Treatise, a section of the
oldest known book on the planet, the I Ching:

"8. By means of the easy and the simple we grasp the laws of the whole
world. When the laws of the whole world are grasped, therein lies
perfecton."

Jerard P
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