PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go? Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go?

PFE 25.07

-0.1%

Nov 17 3:59 PM EST

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To: Anthony Wong who wrote (3743)	6/27/1998 4:22:00 PM
From: LR	Read Replies (2) of 9523

Anthony, a prediction for EPS? From that article: Since Viagra hit the market in April, Pfizer said two million men have tried the drug. Scott-Levin, a health-care market research company, said $135.5 million of Viagra was sold by the end of May. This quarter EPS est. is $0.44(low is $0.41, high is $0.55). Last year was $0.35 for June. Last qtr = $0.53 with Net Income $692M. Profit Margin = 20.7% Assume Viagra Revenues = 2 months(May and June) X $135.5M X 0.8(CF is Conservative Factor, i.e. minus advertising, April viagra sales and Rx declines, June viagra same sales volume, etc.)= $216M. With (Profit Margin)20.7% X $216M = $44.7M additional Net Income. Assume Net Income of same as last qtr($692M) + $44.7M = $736M. EPS = $736M/1.31B > $0.56 with greater upside(see CF and Profit Margin for Viagra same as company). Comments and input welcome. Thanks, LR

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