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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 148.83+3.9%Nov 19 3:59 PM EST

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To: Ramsey Su who wrote (6082)6/29/1998 10:52:00 AM
From: Katherine Derbyshire  Read Replies (3) of 10921
 
>>the LTCB numbers are obviously all suspect. As of end of Mar, they supposedly
have a unrealized securities loss of 240B yen. That alone make the 26 trillion yen
asset a blue sky number. How much more "unrealized" stuff are in the books?<<

When Hokkaido Takushoku Bank failed last fall, it turned out to have 8 times the bad loans previously reported. Similar problems at LTCB would cause a large fraction of their assets to evaporate. Reputedly only 69% of *disclosed* bad loans are covered by reserves, too.

Interesting article on the subject in today's WSJ, page A12. Besides the above statistics, the article notes that LTCB lost more than $2 billion last year (pre-tax), on revenues of $9.54 billion, and its stock is essentially worthless, having fallen from 600 yen last September to 50 yen last week.

Katherine
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