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Technology Stocks : Silicon Valley Group

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To: Bob Eskimo who wrote (1706)6/29/1998 1:55:00 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (2) of 2946
 
Bob,

First, anyone who responds to your specific questions on this thread is probably doing so without any actual insider information.

Re price: It can go to zero.

Re talking about current price: Will that change anything for the better?

Hope for recovery in next year:

Yes, several. Massive arson attacks against the world's DRAM fabs. (i.e. Person 1: "I'm sorry to hear about the fire that you had in your fab." Fab Owner: "Shhhhhh. It's not scheduled until tomorrow night.")

Failing those desperate measures:

Cu processing.
Shrinks to .18micron and beyond
300 mm
some massively popular innovation which triples chip demand overnight.

Takeover: AMAT highlighted its lack of a Photolithography product in its last annual report. SVGI, ASMLF and UTEK are candidates to fill that hole.

Hurting stop: Which will hurt more? Seeing SVGI languish for another quarter or so or watching it double after you sell?

I accept that this is not very helpful, but there really aren't helpful answers to your questions at this time. Must have something to do with speculating in cyclicals. :-)

Good luck,
Ian.
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