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Biotech / Medical : Vivus: into single digits

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To: MIKE DUBIS who wrote (653)7/1/1998 5:22:00 PM
From: Colby   of 1016
 
Mike,
If the market was always right, there would never be value or exceptional returns because everyone would know about it. I think what the market is telling us about VVUS is that there is still a fair amount of risk to be overcome. I agree PFE when and if it gets world wide approval is certainly going to interfere with our market share, but I don't think it will be to the same effect. 1) I think the other countries already know about the potential dangers of Viagra. I don't think it will have the same hypy it did here. 2) Astra and J&J are much better at marketing than VVUS, IMO. They should be able to provide PFE with a bit more competition.
As in all cases, time will tell. At these levels, I like the risk/reward profile.

Colby
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