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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout!
LGND 209.02+3.2%Nov 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: J Stone who wrote (22909)7/3/1998 10:37:00 AM
From: jayhawk969  Read Replies (1) of 32384
 
<Given Ligand's current development stage, the probability of bad
news is pretty minimal.> Ontack is not yet approved and failure to aprove will provide a hit to this stock. In addition Karposi's appears to be in significant decline. This decline in the incidence of Karposi may or may not reverse itself. This is a threat to the financial profitability of Ligands "not yet approved NDA" and I believe investors are responding negatively to this threat and the delay of Ontak.
<Unless Panretin and Targretin are found to be toxic> "or not effective in human trials", <this stock is basically within 20% of its floor.>

I believe that this stock continues to be, as others have said, event driven. We just need more bottom line events and pipeline milestones rather than just news events, which, tend to wear off quickly.

Personaly I belive the best gamble is SRGN. It has been drifting lower. With Ontak's approval there is a .23 per share kicker within a reasonable time period. If Ontak's approval chance is above 90% this is a damn good wager.
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