blankmind.....the new plant can rampup to about 8 mill units a qtr...32 mill units a year...divide by 52 weeks = 600,000 units a week divide again by 6 (no of units in a script) = 100,000 scripts a week production at max capacity.
Look at USA demand pre-Viagra and post Viagra...Muse will have a lot of these countries prior to Viagra being introduced...and then will lose a percentage after Viagra is available.
With good marketing from Astra and Janssen...i'd expect to see some numbers like this....UK 5,000 week ,Spain 5,000, Mexico 10,000,Russia 10,000, S Korea 5,000 Japan 10,000 Italy 5,000 India 20,000 Germany 8,000 France 5,000 China 20,000 Canada 3,000
Brazil 10,000 Australia 3,000 Argentina 3,000
Africia, latin America, far east, etc 20,000
USA to recover to 10,000
That's after Viagra is marketed in these countries.....I'd expect the initial numbers to be higher before Viagra is available....
These numbers exceed the capacity of the new plant in NJ....therefore the need for the plant in Ireland....
And don't rule out future products from Vivus ...reference the 10k report for additional clinical trials and potential products. |
