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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (5723)7/3/1998 3:44:00 PM
From: Boca_PETE  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
Justa: re:<If convinced the bear was coming, why then choose to sell into weakness, reducing possibility of locking in gains?>

My perception of Brinker's position on this matter is in total agreement with yours. I think he believes his timing model will get followers out in time before the big market drop occurs. I hope he's correct for all of our sakes !

However, an investor without access to Brinker's timing model could look at a fully valued market today and conclude that there isn't much upside left based on his concern about the Global fundamental economic outlook and the approaching Y2K impact. Such an investor might be looking to sell out of the market into STRENGTH (not into weakness) and therefore be seeking to maximize the DOLLARS received from selling owned shares. That investor could believe we're still in a Bull Market, but very close to the top. Therefore, such an investor would be seeking to lock in maximum gains, not reduce the possibility of locking in such gains. Employing the SHARE Cost averaging approach to selling out of the BULL Market might help achieve that goal, especially if such investor sold out a lump sum balance of shares owned during a period of extreme market over valuation (Gift Horse Sell Opportunity).

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