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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH)

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To: Peter Singleton who wrote (4763)7/6/1998 4:36:00 PM
From: Vector1  Read Replies (1) of 6136
 
Peter,
I bought more shares today. Averaging down. The problem is I can't keep doing this indefinitely. I think my problem is that I don't look at it like a trader. I have been sucessful across industry as a long term investor but generally lousy as a trader.
AGPH has a successful drug which is clearly the best in its class. The Geneva conference raises issues about Viracept growth rate, but sales are not likely to go down for the next few years at least. Indeed they are likely to increase. The three deals announced will cut into short term earnings but make great sense long term. They have already built a sales force and an infrastructure and are leveraging off of it. We are at the point where positive news has been greatly discounted . At this point the chances of a positive surprise is much greater than a negative one.
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