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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go?
PFE 25.70-0.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: Anthony Wong who wrote (3970)7/6/1998 11:49:00 PM
From: BigKNY3  Read Replies (1) of 9523
 
Listed below is an update of ED specification based on published IMS Internet posts. Highlights are follows:

-Total Viagra prescriptions have surpassed 2.67 million since launch (13 weeks).This is the highest specification ever acheived for a new product in the history of Big Pharma.

-Viagra total Rxs for the week ending June 26th remained flat as compared to the prior week with new Rxs declining 6.5%.

-Indicative of its therapeutic success and future repeat business, Viagra refill Rxs showed very strong growth (+16.9%), the 11th consecutive increase for refills. The important Viagra Refill/New Rx ratio has moved up to a very healthy 53.4%.

-The average number of Viagra tablets per Rx is 8.5.

Note: The Memorial Day holiday had a negative impact on the 5/29/98 data.

Have PFun!

BigKNY3
__________________________________________________________

ED New RXs
.....................................................% Share.......% Share
......Week....Viagra........MUSE........ Viagra.........MUSE
..... Ending...New Rxs....New Rxs.....New Rxs.....New Rxs
13..6/26/98....141,877.....2,124...........98.5%...........1.5%
12..6/19/98....151,579.....2,210...........98.6%...........1.4%
11..6/12/98....168,610.....2,154...........98.7%...........1.3%
10..6/05/98....192,585.....2,035...........99.0%...........1.0%
9....5/29/98....161,405.....2,097............98.7%.........1.3%
8....5/22/98.....236,525.....2,344............99.0%.........1.0%
7....5/15/98.....262,566....2,373............99.1%........ 0.9%
6....5/8/98.......278,715....2,588.............99.1%.........0.9%
5.....5/1/98......269,842....2,945........ 98.9%.........1.1%
4.....4/24/98.....207,868 ..3,524........ 98.3%.........1.7%
3.....4/17/98.....113,134....4,609....... 96.1%..........3.9%
2....4/10/98 ......36,263... 6,716..........84.4%.........15.6%
1....4/3/98............ 546... 7,998..............6.4%........93.6%
0....3/27/98...... ...... 0... 9,593 .............0.0%.......100.0%
Total .............2,221,705...53,310

Avg Post Viagra.170,900....3,363.........98.1%........1.9%
Avg. 1997........................12,594
...% Chg Post/1997.............-73.3%
________________________________________
ED Refill RXs

............................................................% Share......% Share
......Week...Viagra.............MUSE...........Viagra..........MUSE
......Ending..Refill Rxs.........Refill Rxs......Refill Rxs....Refill Rxs
13..6/26/98...75,748.............2,531...........96.8%..........3.2%
12..6/19/98...68,689.............2,484...........96.5%..........3.5%
11..6/12/98...64,781.............2,630...........96.1%..........3.9%
10..6/05/98....63,323.............2,755..........95.8%..........4.2%
9....5/29/98....49,452.............2,737..........94.8%........ 5.2%
8....5/22/98....45,972..............3,026.........93.8%........ 6.2%
7....5/15/98....35,100..............3,078.........91.9%.........8.1%
6....5/8/98......24,700...............3,277........88.3%......... 11.7%
5....5/1/98.......16,429............. 3,659.......81.8%......... 18.2%
4....4/24/98.......7,508..............3,824.......66.3%......... 33.7%
3....4/17/98.......2,109..............4,290.......33.0%......... 67.0%
2....4/10/98 .........429..............4,677..... 8.4%........... 91.6%
1....4/3/98...............0...............5,031.......0.0%...........100.0%
0....3/27/98.............0...............4,873..... 0.0%...........100.0%
Total.................453,240. ...........43,999
Avg Post Viagra..37,770..............3,385.....91.8%......... 8.2%
Avg. 1997...................................3,278
% Chg Post/1997...........................3.2%
_____________________________________________________

ED Total Rxs

....................................................................% Share....% Share
......Week................Viagra.........MUSE.........Viagra.........MUSE
..... Ending...............Total Rxs....Total Rxs....Total Rxs....Total Rxs
13..6/26/98..............217,625......4,655..............97.9%.....2.1%
12..6/19/98..............219,458......4,694..............97.9%.....2.1%
11..6/12/98..............233,391......4,784..............98.0%.....2.0%
10..6/05/98..............255,908......4,799..............98.2%.....1.8%
9....5/29/98..............210,857......4,834............. 97.8%.....2.2%
8....5/22/98 ............ 282,497......5,370............ 98.1%.....1.9%
7....5/15/98............. 297,666......5,451............. 98.2%.....1.8%
6....5/8/98............... 303,415......5,865............. 98.1%.....1.9%
5....5/1/98............... 286,271......6,604............. 97.7%......2.3%
4....4/24/98............. 215,376......7,348............. 96.7%......3.3%
3....4/17/98............. 115,243......8,899..............92.8%.......7.2%
2....4/10/98 ..............36,692.....11,393.............76.3%.....23.7%
1....4/3/98.......................546.....13,029..............4.0%......96.0%
0....3/27/98 .............. .........0.....14,466............ 0.0%.....100.0%
Total......................2,674,945.....102,191
.....Avg Post Viagra....205,765.......6,748..............96.8%.......3.2%
......Avg. 1997..............................15,872
......% Chg Post/1997....................-57.5%

______________________________________________________

ED Ratio: Refill Rxs/New Rxs

........................Viagra.........MUSE
..... Week.........% refills/......% refills/
.... Ending........New Rxs.....New Rxs
13..6/26/98...........53.4%.....119.2%
12..6/19/98...........45.3%.....112.4%
11..6/12/98...........38.4%.....122.1%
10..6/05/98...........32.9%.....135.4%
9....5/29/98............30.6%....130.5%
8....5/22/98............19.4%....129.1%
7....5/15/98 ...........13.1%....129.7%
6....5/8/98................8.9%....126.6%
5....5/1/98................6.1%....124.2%
4....4/24/98..............3.6%....108.5%
3....4/17/98 .............1.9%.....93.1%
2....4/10/98 .............1.2%.....69.6%
1....4/3/98 ............. 0.0%....62.9%
0....3/27/98............ ......... 50.8%

.....Avg Post Viagra......22.1%...100.6%
......... Avg. 1997.......................26.0%

Notes

-New Rxs: The key to the health of a new product. Look for volume, market share and growth trends. Viagra new Rxs are expected to plateau and decline due to heavy initial trial usage. Holidays will effect weekly totals.

-Refill Rxs: An important indicator of the efficacy and toleration of a new product particularly one for prn therapy such as ED. These patients will not refill a product that is not working or is causing adverse reactions. According to IMS, ''a key barometer to measure the market demand and acceptance of Viagra will be the refill rate of prescriptions. It provides insight into how consumers like the results and how they are reacting to news about the product. The time it takes a consumer to decide to get a refill will have a major impact on the ultimate sales of Viagra.''

-Refill/New Rx Ratio: Another indicator of a product's success. After an initial launch period of 4-6 months, a successful new product should have a refill ratio of at least 50%. Conversely, a product with a refill ratio of less than 50% after 4-6 months may not have been viewed as effective, well-tolerated, or available.

In addition, a ratio of greater than 110% may result from a sharp decline in new specification due to alternative new therapies ....while the remaining satisfied patients continue to refill their Rxs. If this ratio is significantly higher than historical norms, the product may be in trouble.
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