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Gold/Mining/Energy : American Eco (ECGOF, ECX on Toronto exchange)
ECX 1.600-5.1%Dec 15 3:59 PM EST

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To: Jim Langdon who wrote (2621)7/7/1998 12:23:00 PM
From: David Tashima   of 2841
 
Book value = $3.75

Subtract off goodwill, write off 50% of the 'investments' (which is precisely what I'm doing right now), and you come out to about $3.75. This is not totally unreasonable - what evidence do we have that they will make money this year? Next year? In 10 years? I'd put more faith in Yahoo in the next 10 years than eco.

Think about it this way: do we have more evidence that Eco will make money next year than we did last year? Not really... last year, if you had polled the thread asking for guesses on how much eco would make for the first 6 months of this year, how many people would have said $0.03?

Now, with that in mind, what if eco makes $0.10 this year, and $0.20 next year. Is $3.75 unreasonable? Not at all. A PE in the mid 30's, and extremely uncertain growth.

-Dave
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