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Technology Stocks : IBM
IBM 309.39+0.5%Dec 8 3:59 PM EST
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To: Greg R who wrote (3431)7/8/1998 7:55:00 PM
From: Jim Koch  Read Replies (3) of 8218
 
How good is the INPATHIQUE system?

Greg, since I am always looking for better tools, I have been following the INPATHIQUE examples for IBM with some interest since you first referenced it on this thread. At first glance, it looks pretty impressive. However, I have noticed several "corrections" to make the charts reflect the actual path of IBM's stock price. Having a background in Statistics, I know how easy it is to build a system to "predict" the past. How successful have you been using this system? Anybody else care to comment?

Also, how can the system account for the 2nd Q earnings report? I expect the "whisper" numbers to start influencing the stock price very soon. The word from the "trenches" is that IBM North America is exceeding plan and looking very strong. This is in spite of a very poor 2nd Qtr outlook at the beginning of the year. Will this be enough to overcome the SEA problem, poor performance in the PC market, and exchange rates? Don't know. My bet is that it will, I am buying back my August 115's (at a loss) and going long. IBM's 3rd & 4th Qtr outlook looks good, the fundamentals are there. Me thinks Lou is on to something here!

Bear or Bull, somebody is going to make some money. I hope its me! Good luck.
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