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Technology Stocks : Benchmarq Micro(BMRQ)

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To: SI-Shark who wrote (36)12/5/1996 1:55:00 AM
From: Rex Dwyer   of 313
 
Rex's profit predictions for 4Q96.

Battery management revs were $5.38M last 3Q, up from $4.125M in 2Q, a 30% increase sequentially.

I bet the sales increase will be as large this next Q if not larger. So, I get 4Q revs from battery management of $5.38+($5.38)*(30%)=$7.02M. That's an increase in BM sales of $1.64M. With a gross margin of 45%, I get an increase in earnings of 1.64M(0.45)=0.76M. That's (.76/7.33M shrs)=0.10 per share in added earnings. I will assume no growth at all for the other product lines. I know that their expenses are hardly increasing at all, which brings gross profit right to the bottom line. Add that to what they made in 3Q, and I get a quarterly income of $0.39 for 4Q. If they paid taxes, that would give you $0.25 per share of real earnings. Total revs would be $12.1M for 4Q. The P/E would then be 20.6 on fully taxed earnings that quarter. The revenue growth rate would be equivalent to a 78.5% annual clip, all for a P/E of 20.6. The PEG would be 20.6/78.5=0.26, which is not near the usual 1.0 limit.

I'm holding the stock into the $30s.

Rex

Summary:
4Q96
Revs $12,100 est
Earnings $1,830 est
EPS $0.25 est

Earnings are assumed fully taxed.
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