PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go? Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go?

PFE 25.04

+2.6%

Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: Uncle Frank who wrote (4141)	7/9/1998 10:25:00 PM
From: BigKNY3	Read Replies (1) of 9523

Here are the latest analysts' estimates for full-year Viagra sales. Second quarter sales have already surpassed 5 of the analysts' full-year forecasts. BigKNY3 Analysts' estimates of Viagra 1998 sales average $583 million, a 37% increase over the original estimates made prior to approval. At the current specification rate, it is estimated that Viagra is selling at a rate of $90 million per month. Accordingly, a 1998 Viagra sales forecast is $810 million. Current Original 1998 Est 1998 Est (Billions) (Billions) Comments Gruntal* $1.000 Peak annual sales of $4.5 B Everen $0.850 $1.4 B (1999) Mehta Partners $0.800 Nation Banc * $0.800 $0.400 $1.9M in 99,Up to $6B in peak year OrbiMed** $0.700 $0.850 $1 B by 2002 Salomen Smith Barney* $0.655 $2.1 B (1999), $5.750 B (2002) Schroder* $0.635 $1.2 B (1999),$3B (2002) Merrill Lynch* $0.625 $0.350 $1.3 B ( 1999) Bear Stearns* $0.600 $0.400 $1.2 B (1999) PaineWebber $0.600 $0.600 $1.2 B (1999) HKS & Co $0.500 $0.500 Estimate will be grossly revised Standard & Poor's $0.400 $0.400 $3.0 B by 2002 Hambrecht & Quis $0.345 $0.345 $.700 B (1999) Deutsche Morgan $0.300 $0.300 Gerard Klauer $0.300 $0.300 $788 M (1999) AG Edwards $0.225 $0.225 Reaching $1.0 B in 3-4 years Furman Selz $2 B (2002) Morgan Stanley $3-5 B (Peak) ABN-AMBRO $1.8 B (2001) Americal $10 B over 5 years Cowen $2.5 B +(2001) Goldman Sachs $1.5 B by 1999 Average $0.583 $0.425 +37.4% * Revised original estimate upward **Revised latest estimate downward ________________

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