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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS)
COMS 0.001300.0%Dec 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: chenys who wrote (18990)7/10/1998 7:19:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (1) of 45548
 

My guestimate: at 50% it would take 2 - 5 years

In 2 years 3Com would make $945 million in sales.

$1,200,000. * [(1.5)]^2 * 350. = $945 million sales.

In 5 years 3Com would make

$1,200,000. * [(1.5)]^5 * 350. = $3.189 billion sales

(I'm not sure how much revenue would be needed)

But, I think the Palm computer is going to grow faster
than 50% a year. I'd say anywhere's from 3-10 times
in a year. So the calculation goes like this:

1 year at 300% annual growth --
$1,200,000. * [(3.00)^1] * 350. = $1.26 billion sales

2 years at 300% annual growth --

$1,200,000. * [(3.00)^2] * 350. = $3.7 billion sales



I'd have to see how much revenue is needed. Then how
much is profit from the modems. Then how much is profit
from the Palm computers.

Looks like 3Com is really counting on the Palm Pilots
hitting the big time out past year 2000. That's what
some people think.

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