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Non-Tech : The Children's Beverage Group (TCBG)

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To: Ga Bard who wrote (800)7/11/1998 12:29:00 PM
From: Cavalry  Read Replies (1) of 2452
 
TCBG valuation estimates by Cav

VPUR - Vermont Pure Holdings stock price $4 eps (.14 )
selling at 28x earnings
CLCDF Clearly Canadien stock price 13/16 eps (-.46)
TCBG The Children's Beverage Group stock price $1.75
earnings estimates from Walters, Scott, Stern & Associates
1998-99 .19 1999-00 .465
TCBG (28x earnings multiple like VPUR) 28x.19 stock price = $5.32
" " " 28x .465 " " = $13.00
Even if TCBG misses these numbers by 30% i still get 98-99 earnings of .133 and 99-00 earnings of .3255 28x.133= $3.72 price target for 98-99 and $9.00 price target for 99-00.

What if rip it sip it is giant hit and we beat estimates by 30%
98-99 eps .247 and 99-00 eps of .598 giving me a price target of
$6.9 for 98-99 and $16.92 price target for 99-00.

These are only my estimates using what was given to me, make your own decisions and do your own DD.
Personally so far every move TCBG has maken has been the right one in my view. Until they miss these estimates i am long TCBG plain and simple.
Cav
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