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Technology Stocks : Elcotel, Inc.

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To: Brian C who wrote ()7/12/1998 11:13:00 AM
From: J. R. DIAZ  Read Replies (1) of 94
 
With less then a month remaining until 1st qtr earnings release date, it appears investors have loss some confidence in ECTL, last conference call ECTL could not build confidence for 1 qtr release, but to say that 2 qtr release would be in the double digits. Though I feel ECTL will have a great year, how profitable can smart pay phones be in the years to come? My numbers for the 1 qtr are .06 reflecting a delay in shipment due to testing, compared to .09 estimate. Making this lower figure for 1st qtr, my numbers are much higher in the 2nd qtr, earnings should come around .12 compared to .11 estimate. Revenues for the year should come around 74 to 76 million and year ending per share earnings estimate of .44 is reachable. My only concern about ECTL is what other surprises can we expect from management for the 1st qtr. Investing in ECTL is like walking in the dark we just don't know what is going to jump out at us. As of Friday 10 bid was 4 1/2 and ask 4 11/16, my guess we have hit near rock bottom but surely 4 1/4 would be a blue light special. My suggestion is hold your shares until at least 2 qtr. JRD
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