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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: larry who wrote (11555)7/15/1998 4:50:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (1) of 18691
 


>>I don't like the INTC report at all. I believe that INTC is a good short and should be traded in the low 70s because there is no future growth in sight.<

I agree. It shows me the liquidity of the market. (WS will make up
any excuse to push INTC forward - I couldn't believe the
volume on it either!!)

>> And still believe that when the market corrects in late Sept. or Oct., INTC will see 68-72 again.<<

Correction is probably coming. If you figure out when let me
know. :-)

Sept. or Oct. is too far to predict. I was thinking possibly this
summer.

>>It's now clear that DELL won't stop anywhere below 135.<<

You probably mean, excluding consolidation and mini-pullbacks...

>>And I will use any weakness (a pullback to 105-108 range as reentry point)<<

One or two more days of DELL going forward, and I don't know how
you can justify a pullback to 105-108. Is this wishful thinking
on your part? $108 is about 3.5% away right now.

I'm almost thinking of adding more to my DELL position. But I'm
also wondering if I'm insane or greedy as hell :-)

My only real indicator that I think can sum up this market is
liquidity. If I find that it's drying up, I am selling DELL
right away. I have to find ways to better measure it.

Let me know if you have any good ideas.

good luck,
joe
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