conf call notes, long, fairly complete. =-=-=-=- q2 earnings release
many factors could change our outlook, reminder
bala iyer:
-industry down, we stayed ~flat, via spending control programs -bs strengthen, book value increased ~$1 to 11.86 -bookings up from march quarter, from wireless bookings -excellent design win quarter -- in wireless, networking and consumer biz -expect revs up modestly up in 3rd qtr and further in 4th qtr -bringing cost structure down, reduction in force..headcount down ~10% -1 time charge 5-7 million, next q financial results: -wireless biz, sequential decline of ~20%. -pickup of wireless bookings in latter part of q suggests inventory correction over -visibillity into 2nd half, non-wireless, is limited, consistent w/industry trends -gross margins were 38%, declining ~3%. -operating expenses, were 10% lower than prior qtr, from cost reductions -vlsi hold 2million shares of ARM ltd, worth 37.8 million, in cash balance business segment comm: -~60% of revs over last 3 qtrs, this qtr ~50% of revenue -wireless bookings strengthened significantly in latter part of qtr -shipped samples of cdma product.., now offer products for all cellular standards -addressing emerging 3rd generations standard IMT2000, combines cdma and gsm -currrently shipping 1st generation bluetooth product -very strong design win qtr in comm, w/multiple handset wins in cdma, gsm and ??dec? -progress in base station area, securing 3 design wins -in networking, several design wins w/gigabit m??ac product?? complex arm based asic for router application computing and consumer biz (~50% of q2 rev) -stb biz, up sequentially. ???tv in Japan, and DirecTV in US -launch of PerfecTV in May, higher acceptance than anticipated, early follow on -DirecTV bookings have returned after several week qtrs, w/improved market reaction to a set top box w/vlsi content. **very optimistic about team and offerings in stb area -design wins in consumer biz include 2 DVD designs, mpeg2,.... -shipped security asics for divx program in q2, pilot release. look forward to upcoming nationwide launch -5 suppliers will produce divx?? for 4th q rollout, some will include additional content from vlsi computing -demand continues to be weak, and weakness in arcade game biz -design wins include follow on designs w/existing customers in high storage/computing apps, and new customer design in cptr peripheral apps maunfacturing -utilization dropped further -- trying to get inv turns back in line - utilization picked up significantly in latter part of qtr technology front -0.25 micron in full production in san antonio fab, in prototype for 0.2 -0.15 optimistic to be in place by q3 1999 balance sheet -bs strengthened, bv up a buck -cash up, sale of portion of ARM -inventory declined -cap expenditure, expect, over the year, ~150million outlook -rev's up modestly in q3, to strengthen further in q4 due to wireless -visibillity in non-wireless continues to be limited -expect profit margins to improve
Q&A -soundview 1. do you believe wireless revs will be up year over year? **strengthening, s/be ~2nd half 97 2. design wins at major customers for 1cgsm solution **several in previous q, several in last q, s/contribute 'reasonably' in 99 3. re: gross margin, was there any pricing pressure: **didn't see anything beyond normal. didn't see asp's down in q2
-bt alex brown 1. do you believe gross margin in q3 return to q1? **utilization levels s/be back 2. what are customer inventory levels **believe in wireless back to normal. appears to be the case in consumer **in networking haven't seen a bounce, suspect there are still issues
-gruntal 1. how does OE look going forward? **q1-q2 result of spending controls. delayed merit increases, 5 shut down days during q **going forward, ~5million reduction in expenses. **in relation to q2, expect OE modestly up to flat in q3
-nationsbanc montgomery securities 1. color of wireless biz **market share steady or increasing 2. what are expecations, next march q a problem? **yes, it's seasonal, don't expect next year to be like this year **expect q4 to q1 about 10% sequential decline, overall 3. in computing side, any 'more' known problems **no, it's dropping substantially
-DLJ 1. breakout of consumer biz **consumer ~30% **communication ~50% **computing ~20% 2. re gross margin, getting back to march q? **yes, roughly (repeat) 3. when will design wins in networking biz show up as rev? **s/see firmly in 99, coming on modestly now and thru this year
-sutro 1. s/we expect communications as % of rev to back up to 60% in q3-4 **expect 60-65% in back end of year, seasonaly stronger in 2nd half 2. when to expect volume shipment of CDMA **in q1 and q2 in 1999 3. re: mfg, update on...??wafer tec? migrate to 8" wafers **wafertec, malaysia, still going, concerns about slowness/raising money **scheduled to come in in y2k **8" wafers, implement 'as needed' probably second half next year
-pershing 1. why not get out of cptr biz? **have to stay with customers, good margin biz 2. when will we 'really' be back on growth track? **we see strength increasing..., anticipate 'real growth' in 1999
Rich Beyer closing remarks: managing steadily thru tough times.., expect improved performance thru end of year and into next year. remain committed to strategy and 20/20 success model, confident we will return to steady progress in 2nd half and beyond. |