Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Investor2 who wrote (6056)	7/17/1998 3:17:00 PM
From: marc ultra	Read Replies (2) of 42834

i2, hi, I think Bob has stated in the past that he makes refinements in his model periodically. Also I recall he was using a second model as a back up to confirm the main model though of course I have no idea if that is still going on. Since it was pointed out his current model apparently dates back to 1988 I would conjecture that sentiment may be a larger component than earlier models since in 1987 bullish sentiment calculated the usual way (bull/bull+bear) was 76% in August when things started to fall and by the way reached 80% just prior to the 73/74 bear market. As he has often said though, sentiment is just one part along with valuation, money supply and economic. It is interesting that we have lost valuation, may be on the verge of losing sentiment and some economists are starting to talk of negative GDP in the future, something to ponder and something that again makes me wonder about a 4th quarter inflection point possibility once mentioned Marc

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next