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Technology Stocks : Macromedia...making a comeback?

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To: alex who wrote (2274)7/18/1998 11:39:00 AM
From: av ram   of 2675
 
Regarding earnings, I wrote following in the Yahoo board:

If we safely assume at least 5% sequential growth from the Q4, we get revenue close to $31.5 mil. I expect some operating expenses to go up slightly by (higher marketing sales but less R&D costs) about 3% which gives us close to $27 mil.

This gives us income of $4.5 mil (pre-tax). Adding "other income" of $1.5 mil (same as Q4) we get close to $6.0 mil of pre-tax income. In Q4 they used 36% tax rate which gives us net income of $3.8 mil and translating to diluted income of $0.90. (assuming 41.329 mil shares)

I have not used any of $7 mil received (or likely to be received) from Apple. Lets see how much royalty income MACR derive from Apple.

Few other things to notice:

- In fiscal 1998, MACR had 51% revenue from North America. I think this should increase this time.
- Although Mac related dependency has reduced to 46%, I think Q1 should see very good sales from Mac

Overall IMO, numbers should be pretty decent.
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