' Patrick Meehan, Y2K program manager, DuPont Operations, presented the large-user perspective. "Let's face it, there's not much upside and a lot of downside," he offered. He sees that 50% of DuPont's work will be with process control devices and systems and his current estimate is that, while 100% will be examined, 10-15% will need remediation. ...
Ken Owen, TAVA Technologies, Englewood, Colo., invoked the conference's only Titanic reference by suggesting that companies have tended to look only at the tip of the iceberg. "The damage to the systems that help you count your money are getting a lot of attention, but the 90% underwater-the controls -is the structure that makes the money, and it's not getting enough attention."
His company's research concluded that problems will vary. "It will range from simply having erratic production problems, to having lines that don't run because the manufacturing systems have stopped, to having serious safety and quality problems because the manufacturing systems make bad decisions," he asserted.
Sounding a familiar alarm, he concluded by saying, "Do the math. If you started January 1, 1998, you spent one month negotiating what you think you need and you'll need two months to test a pilot program. After that, you'll need five months to conduct a full inventory and assessment of what you have and another five months planning the steps to convert what needs to be converted. Our work so far indicates you'll need ten or more months to remediate, and then-sorry-time's up." ...
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