Hiram:
As a correction, for VDSL you do not need fiber to the curb, but fiber to the neighborhood (about 100ft to the customer). The architecture is similar in many ways to HFC networks, which are hybrid fiber/coax. VDSl is in essence hybrid fiber + copper. The approximately 50Mb/sec it offers to customers is dedicated, and therefore far superior to anything cable modems have to offer, since each cable downstream channel will offer about 40Mb/sec as a shared medium.
Also, when you say ADSL does not run over fiber, this is true, but all ADSL architectures aggregate ADSL signals over fiber (there was a nice article on this topic by George Hawley (sp?) in IEEE Communications Magazine about 2 years ago-- he is involved with Diamond Lane, I believe).
As a general rule, I do not believe there will be one last mile solution which will dominate. My guess is that the 3 contenders for business users will be FTTC + fast/gibabit Ethernet, broadband wireless, and VDSL. For home customers, we will probably see a mix of cable, ADSL, and wireless by satellite emerge. Each of the proposed solutions have strengths and weaknesses. For cable the big cost is cable plant upgrade, which cannot be dismissed so easily. Similarly, FTTC is quite expensive.
Best wishes,
Bernard Levy |