Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AMZN 227.90

+0.4%

3:59 PM EST

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To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (11322)	7/22/1998 6:00:00 PM
From: Tradegod	of 164684

I think it crashes tomorrow. Highlights from the conference call seem to indicate caution from Bezos on rate of growth and competition from Barnes and Nobles et al. My analysis shows phenominal growth rate to be slowing. For instance. Year to Year Comparison 97 to 98 1Q 2Q Revenue 446% 329% Accounts 446% 410% Rev/Share 355% 281% share creep Stock Price 300% a 1000% b a. The rate of growth in revenues and accounts is 1.5 times the stock price appreciation during first quarter. b. The rate of growth in revenue is .3 times the stock price appreciation. Sequential Comparison (1Q to 2Q) 97 98 Revenue 68.9% 33% Accounts 79% 34% Rev/Share 54% 29.5% Stock Price na 300% This last table is significant; the sequential quarter rate of growth has dropped in half, but the stock has tripled. Losses have increased, share creep has continued. Dilution is troubling. Losses would have been over .46 if they hadn't added 1.4 million more shares. Funny how this spins to make the losses look better.

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