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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 220.66+1.6%Nov 21 3:59 PM EST

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To: umbro who wrote (11103)7/22/1998 11:14:00 PM
From: umbro  Read Replies (3) of 164684
 
AMZN options report for 07/22/98
AMZN price: 134.000
Options Forecast for: AUG
put price: 114.80 OI = 7740 VOL = 3720
call price: 147.70 OI = 13415 VOL = 4818
consensus: 137.94 R = 0.6 R = 0.8
Options Forecast for: SEP
put price: 103.62 OI = 874 VOL = 233
call price: 149.70 OI = 452 VOL = 103
consensus: 128.12 R = 1.9 R = 2.3
Options Forecast for: OCT
put price: 104.27 OI = 2297 VOL = 154
call price: 152.36 OI = 5260 VOL = 274
consensus: 142.40 R = 0.4 R = 0.6
Options Forecast for: JAN
put price: 98.35 OI = 1253 VOL = 210
call price: 162.42 OI = 3173 VOL = 135
consensus: 146.86 R = 0.4 R = 1.6
net long/short: 1.01 mil.
i.v. for AUG = 0.989
i.v. for SEP = 0.933
i.v. for OCT = 0.871
i.v. for JAN = 0.861

A fair amount a premium came out the Sept. and Oct. options, though
the Jan. options moved up a little. Maybe the bears are
rolling their puts out to later-dated options. The Sept. options
are decidedly bearish with a put/call ratio of 2.3 (on a volume
basis). The August options were fairly neutral (there is normally
a call bias).

As far as tomorrow goes, tough call. Maybe the bulls were
looking for a split, and the bears were looking for lower
sales growth. The press is positive, it seems, so that's
where I'd say the bias goes. I'd guess a +5 point move
on a closing basis, but frankly tomorrow looks like a better
day to watch than to trade (we'll see :)).
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