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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 234.37+0.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: Jan Crawley who wrote (11422)7/22/1998 11:23:00 PM
From: Sonny  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
Any Psychologist, Chartist and Option-evaluator here? Please comment on the following 3 points/questions:

1. Can the euphoria still continue in masses after some significant event like earnings announcement? If so, then extrapolating 45-days' of pre-release run, how many days you suspect. Will give us some sentiment-topping-out signal.

2. Chartist: From the last 3 months, and last 2-weeks' charts, can you give us some guidance on where the waxing-and-vaning of the turbulence of the price-wave will subside for AMZN? Will give us some
criterion to observe the drop in option-volatility premium.

3. Option-evaluator: Can you please comment on the rate with which the price of AMZN must drop, so as to achieve some 50% gains in puts (deep-out-of-money, say 90) expiring somewhere around Jan'99 (for maximum hold upto Oct'98). Someone mentioned that MMs have placed puts so high that the decrease in price will be compensated by decrease in volatility premium, so much so that, if the price deceleration line does not have -ve slope higher than certain value, it will be just mildly -ve, with no hopes of any gains whatsoever. Want some confirmations on that.

regards to all,
-/Sonny.
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