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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AMZN 229.60

+1.5%

3:59 PM EST

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To: umbro who wrote (11424)	7/23/1998 9:59:00 PM
From: umbro	Read Replies (1) of 164684

AMZN options report for 07/23/98 AMZN price: 129.875 Options Forecast for: AUG put price: 113.39 OI = 11352 VOL = 1105 call price: 142.94 OI = 15879 VOL = 1740 consensus: 133.01 R = 0.7 R = 0.6 Options Forecast for: SEP put price: 104.94 OI = 1157 VOL = 169 call price: 148.09 OI = 501 VOL = 74 consensus: 123.58 R = 2.3 R = 2.3 Options Forecast for: OCT put price: 102.32 OI = 2902 VOL = 43 call price: 149.11 OI = 5884 VOL = 47 consensus: 138.40 R = 0.5 R = 0.9 Options Forecast for: JAN put price: 94.44 OI = 2204 VOL = 32 call price: 158.24 OI = 3541 VOL = 116 consensus: 138.42 R = 0.6 R = 0.3 net long/short: 0.82 mil. i.v. for AUG = 0.938 i.v. for SEP = 0.918 i.v. for OCT = 0.903 i.v. for JAN = 0.831 Implied vols. dropped, esp. in Aug. from 0.989 to 0.938. Oct vols actually picked up a bit from 0.871 to 0.903. Generally option trade volumes were lower, in spite of the decent level of volume AMZN, and given what turned out to be a rather wide range day, even for AMZN, though ths spike up early in the day, was over before it started. Lots of puts trading in Sept., with a high put/call ratio. Contrarian thinking would say they're wrong. No prediction for tomorrow. Looks like a new ballgame, and it'll take a few days to settle things out. The odds would seem to be in favor of selling pressure next week, and the following due to employee options exercise. Also, I think AMZN may have trouble staying strong if the overall market weakens, esp. the NDX 100.

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