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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (22203)7/23/1998 11:27:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Jim, new one I am trying to see if it will work. Generally when the
indicator is > .90 it is Bearish and <.90 Bullish.

SP500 S&P 500 OEX OEX
DATE Indicator %Change $Change %Change $Change

09/02/97 0.943 3.12% $28.10 3.38% $14.67
09/03/97 0.982 0.03% $0.30 0.07% $0.31
09/04/97 0.997 0.32% $3.00 0.40% $1.81
09/05/97 1.012 -0.19% ($1.80) -0.12% ($0.53)
09/08/97 1.077 0.23% $2.10 0.24% $1.07
09/09/97 1.077 0.26% $2.40 0.29% $1.30
09/10/97 1.096 -1.56% ($14.60)-1.62% ($7.33)
09/11/97 1.102 -0.70% ($6.40) -0.68% ($3.04)
09/12/97 1.015 1.24% $11.30 1.07% $4.74
09/15/97 1.019 -0.44% ($4.10) -0.75% ($3.34)
09/16/97 1.057 2.80% $25.80 2.64% $11.70
09/17/97 1.058 -0.27% ($2.60) -0.10% ($0.46)
09/18/97 1.071 0.46% $4.30 0.24% $1.09
09/19/97 0.995 0.34% $3.20 0.39% $1.77
09/22/97 0.958 0.52% $4.90 0.59% $2.70
09/23/97 0.974 -0.37% ($3.50) -0.23% ($1.07)
09/24/97 0.976 -0.78% ($7.40) -0.78% ($3.59)
09/25/97 0.974 -0.70% ($6.60) -0.72% ($3.30)
09/26/97 0.967 0.78% $7.30 0.85% $3.84
09/29/97 0.922 0.86% $8.10 0.89% $4.05
09/30/97 0.967 -0.63% ($6.00) -0.86% ($3.94)
10/01/97 0.959 0.86% $8.10 0.85% $3.87
10/02/97 0.975 0.53% $5.10 0.40% $1.85
10/03/97 1.023 0.47% $4.50 0.31% $1.46
10/06/97 1.029 0.80% $7.70 0.69% $3.20
10/07/97 0.986 1.07% $10.40 1.26% $5.88
10/08/97 0.939 -0.95% ($9.30) -0.79% ($3.73)
10/09/97 0.888 -0.33% ($3.20) -0.38% ($1.78)
10/10/97 0.879 -0.37% ($3.60) -0.50% ($2.32)
10/13/97 0.906 0.11% $1.10 0.17% $0.79
10/14/97 0.876 0.23% $2.20 -0.02% ($0.09)
10/15/97 0.869 -0.47% ($4.60) -0.69% ($3.22)
10/16/97 0.916 -1.08% ($10.40)-1.23% ($5.71)
10/17/97 0.923 -1.16% ($11.10)-1.02% ($4.65)
10/20/97 0.915 1.21% $11.40 1.22% $5.51
10/21/97 0.883 1.75% $16.70 1.88% $8.59
10/22/97 0.921 -0.39% ($3.80) -0.53% ($2.46)
10/23/97 1.026 -1.84% ($17.80)-2.12% ($9.85)
10/24/97 1.106 -0.96% ($9.10) -1.31% ($5.96)
10/27/97 1.132 -6.86% ($64.60)-6.85% ($30.70)
10/28/97 1.305 5.05% $44.30 5.77% $24.08
10/29/97 1.337 -0.23% ($2.10) -0.44% ($1.95)
10/30/97 1.353 -1.69% ($15.50)-1.89% ($8.33)
10/31/97 1.299 1.21% $10.90 1.23% $5.31
11/03/97 1.264 2.67% $24.40 2.70% $11.80
11/04/97 1.296 0.19% $1.80 0.02% $0.09
11/05/97 1.270 0.21% $2.00 0.02% $0.10
11/06/97 1.224 -0.51% ($4.80) -0.47% ($2.12)
11/07/97 1.179 -1.12% ($10.50)-0.96% ($4.29)
11/10/97 1.156 -0.69% ($6.40) -0.79% ($3.51)
11/11/97 1.051 0.29% $2.70 0.38% $1.67
11/12/97 1.037 -1.93% ($17.80)-1.86% ($8.18)
11/13/97 0.913 1.18% $10.70 1.39% $6.03
11/14/97 0.923 1.28% $11.70 1.35% $5.90
11/17/97 0.931 1.92% $17.80 1.98% $8.81
11/18/97 0.985 -0.85% ($8.00) -0.78% ($3.56)
11/19/97 0.994 0.68% $6.40 0.80% $3.57
11/20/97 0.919 1.52% $14.40 1.51% $6.83
11/21/97 0.863 0.43% $4.10 0.79% $3.64
11/24/97 0.856 -1.70% ($16.40)-1.91% ($8.84)
11/25/97 0.853 0.43% $4.10 0.54% $2.44
11/26/97 0.851 0.08% $0.80 -0.02% ($0.07)
11/28/97 0.877 0.40% $3.80 0.46% $2.08
12/01/97 0.889 2.03% $19.40 1.97% $9.04
12/02/97 0.944 -0.32% ($3.10) -0.43% ($1.99)
12/03/97 0.917 0.52% $5.10 0.44% $2.05
12/04/97 0.955 -0.38% ($3.70) -0.15% ($0.68)
12/05/97 0.976 1.10% $10.70 1.29% $6.01
12/08/97 1.024 -0.14% ($1.40) -0.22% ($1.04)
12/09/97 1.023 -0.67% ($6.60) -1.00% ($4.74)
12/10/97 1.072 -0.61% ($6.00) -0.56% ($2.63)
12/11/97 1.098 -1.54% ($14.90)-1.79% ($8.33)
12/12/97 1.137 -0.16% ($1.50) -0.47% ($2.15)
12/15/97 1.146 1.05% $10.00 1.15% $5.22
12/16/97 1.112 0.48% $4.60 0.61% $2.79
12/17/97 1.106 -0.26% ($2.50) -0.46% ($2.15)
12/18/97 1.107 -1.06% ($10.20)-1.30% ($5.98)
12/19/97 1.190 -0.89% ($8.50) -0.88% ($3.99)
12/22/97 1.173 0.73% $6.90 0.73% $3.28
12/23/97 1.213 -1.53% ($14.60)-1.89% ($8.56)
12/24/97 1.205 -0.68% ($6.40) -0.61% ($2.71)
12/26/97 1.182 0.41% $3.80 0.59% $2.59
12/29/97 1.117 1.80% $16.90 1.77% $7.89
12/30/97 1.088 1.83% $17.40 1.83% $8.31

12/31/97 1.098 -0.04% ($0.40) -0.30% ($1.39)
01/02/98 1.105 0.47% $4.60 0.71% $3.27
01/05/98 1.060 0.22% $2.10 0.01% $0.03
01/06/98 1.042 -1.07% ($10.50)-1.21% ($5.60)
01/07/98 1.059 -0.27% ($2.60) -0.24% ($1.11)
01/08/98 1.047 -0.83% ($8.00) -0.78% ($3.58)
01/09/98 1.193 -2.96% ($28.30)-2.97% ($13.44)
01/12/98 1.117 1.24% $11.50 1.38% $6.05
01/13/98 1.076 1.37% $12.90 1.22% $5.43
01/14/98 1.078 0.61% $5.80 0.67% $3.00
01/15/98 1.091 -0.75% ($7.20) -0.69% ($3.11)
01/16/98 1.032 1.14% $10.80 1.15% $5.17
01/20/98 0.981 1.78% $17.10 1.93% $8.80
01/21/98 0.946 -0.80% ($7.80) -0.84% ($3.92)
01/22/98 0.983 -0.80% ($7.80) -0.80% ($3.70)
01/23/98 0.968 -0.56% ($5.40) -0.47% ($2.16)
01/26/98 0.881 -0.06% ($0.60) 0.16% $0.71
01/27/98 0.889 1.25% $12.00 1.33% $6.08
01/28/98 0.916 0.88% $8.50 1.16% $5.37
01/29/98 0.887 0.82% $8.00 0.89% $4.15
01/30/98 0.886 -0.53% ($5.20) -0.55% ($2.59)
02/02/98 0.860 2.14% $21.00 2.17% $10.15
02/03/98 0.869 0.47% $4.70 0.39% $1.88
02/04/98 0.854 0.09% $0.90 0.11% $0.51
02/05/98 0.843 -0.34% ($3.40) -0.32% ($1.53)
02/06/98 0.823 0.90% $9.00 0.82% $3.94
02/09/98 0.819 -0.18% ($1.80) -0.23% ($1.13)
02/10/98 0.814 0.82% $8.30 0.97% $4.66
02/11/98 0.819 0.10% $1.00 0.21% $1.01
02/12/98 0.829 0.40% $4.10 0.45% $2.21
02/13/98 0.818 -0.39% ($4.00) -0.35% ($1.73)
02/17/98 0.884 0.26% $2.70 0.18% $0.88
02/18/98 0.868 0.91% $9.30 0.92% $4.49
02/19/98 0.903 -0.37% ($3.80) -0.36% ($1.80)
02/20/98 0.875 0.57% $5.90 0.48% $2.37
02/23/98 0.887 0.38% $3.90 0.51% $2.50
02/24/98 0.922 -0.72% ($7.50) -0.68% ($3.39)
02/25/98 0.932 1.19% $12.30 1.26% $6.23
02/26/98 0.895 0.56% $5.80 0.30% $1.48
02/27/98 0.906 0.06% $0.60 0.08% $0.41
03/02/98 0.914 -0.15% ($1.60) -0.22% ($1.09)
03/03/98 0.892 0.41% $4.30 0.56% $2.82
03/04/98 0.930 -0.45% ($4.70) -0.53% ($2.67)
03/05/98 0.926 -1.17% ($12.30)-1.57% ($7.85)
03/06/98 0.902 2.00% $20.70 1.96% $9.65
03/09/98 0.920 -0.32% ($3.40) -0.38% ($1.91)
03/10/98 0.865 1.14% $12.00 1.01% $5.06
03/11/98 0.864 0.39% $4.20 0.35% $1.78
03/12/98 0.865 0.13% $1.40 0.25% $1.27
03/13/98 0.869 -0.12% ($1.30) -0.10% ($0.53)
03/16/98 0.852 1.00% $10.70 1.00% $5.11
03/17/98 0.876 0.11% $1.20 0.17% $0.88
03/18/98 0.857 0.46% $5.00 0.66% $3.42
03/19/98 0.847 0.39% $4.20 0.36% $1.84
03/20/98 0.853 0.87% $9.50 1.06% $5.51
03/23/98 0.814 -0.33% ($3.60) -0.57% ($3.02)
03/24/98 0.829 0.92% $10.10 1.01% $5.29
03/25/98 0.855 -0.34% ($3.80) 0.06% $0.31
03/26/98 0.801 -0.10% ($1.10) -0.04% ($0.20)
03/27/98 0.803 -0.49% ($5.40) -0.46% ($2.42)
03/30/98 0.801 -0.16% ($1.80) 0.05% $0.26
03/31/98 0.817 0.75% $8.20 0.66% $3.47
04/01/98 0.836 0.58% $6.40 0.76% $4.02
04/02/98 0.816 1.06% $11.80 0.93% $4.93
04/03/98 0.828 0.24% $2.70 0.17% $0.91
04/06/98 0.847 -0.12% ($1.30) -0.40% ($2.14)
04/07/98 0.891 -1.05% ($11.80)-0.75% ($4.02)
04/08/98 0.877 -0.71% ($7.90) -0.80% ($4.25)
04/09/98 0.959 0.82% $9.00 0.92% $4.84
04/13/98 0.951 -0.09% ($1.00) 0.10% $0.53
04/14/98 0.929 0.55% $6.10 0.52% $2.78
04/15/98 0.877 0.31% $3.50 0.66% $3.54
04/16/98 0.921 -0.99% ($11.10)-0.75% ($4.06)
04/17/98 0.908 1.31% $14.50 1.28% $6.88
04/20/98 0.904 0.09% $1.00 -0.06% ($0.35)
04/21/98 0.896 0.23% $2.60 0.26% $1.43
04/22/98 0.852 0.33% $3.70 0.41% $2.23
04/23/98 0.851 -0.92% ($10.40)-0.92% ($5.03)
04/24/98 0.862 -1.05% ($11.70)-1.11% ($5.98)
04/27/98 0.871 -1.93% ($21.40)-1.73% ($9.26)
04/28/98 0.908 -0.13% ($1.40) -0.31% ($1.63)
04/29/98 0.929 0.88% $9.50 0.83% $4.37
04/30/98 0.896 1.57% $17.20 1.48% $7.83
05/01/98 0.921 0.83% $9.20 0.93% $4.99
05/04/98 0.922 0.10% $1.10 0.07% $0.38
05/05/98 0.918 -0.57% ($6.40) -0.53% ($2.88)
05/06/98 0.953 -0.97% ($10.80)-0.85% ($4.58)
05/07/98 0.956 -0.89% ($9.80) -1.01% ($5.39)
05/08/98 0.921 1.19% $13.00 1.31% $6.94
05/11/98 0.902 -0.14% ($1.50) -0.01% ($0.05)
05/12/98 0.850 0.83% $9.20 0.99% $5.28
05/13/98 0.857 0.28% $3.10 0.45% $2.41
05/14/98 0.869 -0.13% ($1.50) -0.07% ($0.39)
05/15/98 0.924 -0.78% ($8.70) -0.87% ($4.74)
05/18/98 0.944 -0.26% ($2.90) -0.57% ($3.08)
05/19/98 0.956 0.33% $3.70 0.29% $1.54
05/20/98 0.914 0.87% $9.60 1.02% $5.45
05/21/98 0.931 -0.40% ($4.50) -0.46% ($2.51)
05/22/98 0.956 -0.37% ($4.10) -0.15% ($0.82)
05/26/98 0.991 -1.49% ($16.50)-1.42% ($7.66)
05/27/98 1.017 -0.16% ($1.80) 0.12% $0.63
05/28/98 1.028 0.49% $5.40 0.38% $2.04
05/29/98 1.092 -0.62% ($6.80) -0.94% ($5.00)
06/01/98 1.045 0.02% $0.20 -0.23% ($1.23)
06/02/98 1.054 0.20% $2.20 0.17% $0.90
06/03/98 1.087 -0.96% ($10.50)-1.06% ($5.61)
06/04/98 1.074 1.12% $12.10 1.44% $7.55
06/05/98 0.996 1.74% $19.10 1.72% $9.13
06/08/98 0.987 0.16% $1.82 0.14% $0.74
06/09/98 0.925 0.24% $2.69 0.28% $1.51
06/10/98 0.944 -0.55% ($6.13) -0.41% ($2.23)
06/11/98 0.981 -1.59% ($17.70)-1.48% ($7.97)
06/12/98 0.901 0.39% $4.26 0.52% $2.76
06/15/98 0.938 -1.99% ($21.83)-2.19% ($11.72)
06/16/98 0.911 0.98% $10.58 1.06% $5.52
06/17/98 0.842 1.79% $19.52 1.72% $9.08
06/18/98 0.845 -0.07% ($0.74) -0.08% ($0.45)
06/19/98 0.893 -0.52% ($5.72) -0.29% ($1.54)
06/22/98 0.884 0.27% $3.01 0.11% $0.60
06/23/98 0.870 1.44% $15.84 1.78% $9.55
06/24/98 0.844 1.20% $13.38 1.38% $7.52
06/25/98 0.819 -0.32% ($3.63) -0.45% ($2.51)
06/26/98 0.854 0.35% $3.95 0.44% $2.45
06/29/98 0.824 0.47% $5.29 0.81% $4.50
06/30/98 0.855 -0.41% ($4.65) -0.54% ($3.03)
07/01/98 0.870 1.30% $14.72 1.09% $6.04
07/02/98 0.897 -0.20% ($2.25) -0.22% ($1.22)
07/06/98 0.859 1.02% $11.66 0.79% $4.44
07/07/98 0.897 -0.34% ($3.91) -0.09% ($0.53)
07/08/98 0.916 1.07% $12.32 1.14% $6.43
07/09/98 0.968 -0.65% ($7.63) -0.68% ($3.87)
07/10/98 0.948 0.45% $5.25 0.43% $2.45
07/13/98 0.927 0.13% $1.56 0.29% $1.67
07/14/98 0.903 1.05% $12.22 1.10% $6.27
07/15/98 0.901 -0.28% ($3.25) -0.10% ($0.55)
07/16/98 0.904 0.81% $9.53 0.63% $3.64
07/17/98 0.883 0.19% $2.28 0.30% $1.73
07/20/98 0.893 -0.17% ($2.06) -0.46% ($2.65)
07/21/98 0.888 -1.61% ($19.09)-1.69% ($9.75)
07/22/98 0.933 -0.08% ($0.97) -0.23% ($1.28)
07/23/98 0.822 -2.14% ($24.88)-1.95% ($11.09)

The % and $ for the SPX and OEX is the CHANGE. When first looking
at it, it appears to give the signal AFTER the fact. You need to
look at several days before reacting (buying or selling) which
makes it a longer term indicator and will work best in a trending
market. The best way is to copy & paste into a spreadsheet.

Monty

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