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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Joey Two-Cents who wrote (11940)7/24/1998 4:41:00 AM
From: craig crawford  Read Replies (2) of 18691
 
>> IMO we'll see companies like DELL (the 90's version of the 50's TV manufacturer)and AMZN halved in the next 6 months. <<

Why? Will you still believe that after DELL reports a better than 60% EPS increase in a few weeks? True, this is a market of the haves and have-nots. Companies like DELL, LU, TLAB, etc are still showing strong earnings growth. The money should pour into those and I think DELL should be at 200.

C$CO and M$FT are only reporting 25-30% EPS gains but the market loves their dominant position so I have to bet on those too. I bought a bunch of C$CO calls and will likely add to my DELL calls tomorrow too.

DELL is cheeeeap. It is trading at a multiple about inline with it's growth rate. C$CO, M$FT, KO, GE, etc are trading at multiples well above their growth rates.

Coincidently enough, beaten-up INTC with it's earnings declines looks best to me right now. Very strong. Buy calls on that too.
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