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Gold/Mining/Energy : Napier International Technologies Inc. (T.NIR)

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To: xray who wrote (904)7/25/1998 6:11:00 PM
From: David in Ontario  Read Replies (1) of 2444
 
Oooohhhhhhh - xray - why bother?

It's fun to play with projections of future earnings - but you have no more of an idea of earnings mid- or long-term than my big toe. Give it a year then try again. One big contract will blow your figures away.

The anticipated News next week will likely announce TWO new big contracts - from what we have heard. What do they involve - just how large are they? What are Napier's, ICI's and K-G Packagaing's sales forecasts for the next year? How do you factor in the revolutionary nature of these products and the demand from new customers? I don't know - nor do you.

The only figure that I've seen is that ICI will buy a minimum of $1.6M Aquasol Solution from Aquasol. However, when I spoke with Ron Graham and asked him about that figure he just said that 'we like to be conservative!'. Given ICI's established marketing infrastructure in 163 countries - who know's what that $1.6M number will grow to over the year?

The share price is essentially still being driven my market sentiment and Napier's fabulous potential. The upcoming News - with the announcement of the contracts etc. - will push the share price a lot higher. However, in the long run the share price will only be sustained by some solid fundamentals: sales, profits, customer support, market penetration - which are starting to develop now.

I guess you have decided to go down to the wire with your short spin - just hope you can make a few $$ before NIR moves up rapidly again.

Yes chris - I agree - four NIR threads is too much - no time to keep up with them all - so I'll concentrate on the main one - the SI NIR thread. Did the Stockhouse server blow up - haven't been able to get on for a good while now?

David
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