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Gold/Mining/Energy : Trico Marine Services (TMAR)
TMAR 22.410.0%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: D.J.Smyth who wrote (598)7/28/1998 12:02:00 PM
From: Grommit  Read Replies (1) of 1153
 
Raymond James was using $8,200 (Q298) - 7,500 - 7,000 - 6,800 - 6,700 - 6,600 - 6,500 (Q4-99) for gulf dayrates by qtr. This is from a report dated June 4. They stated that these new dayrates were conservative.

Dayrates are now at $6,000 in the gulf. R James was blindsided. The incremental cost of operating a boat is $2500. Rates can go as low as TDW wants. $5000 in a qtr would not surprise me.

Utilizations are crappy in the gulf. Rig count will drop. Gas rigs will drop in 2nd half.

Stock may or may not be undervalued, but I think it will not turn up until outlook turns up. I do not own any - long or short.
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