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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 220.66+1.6%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: umbro who wrote (11899)7/28/1998 4:58:00 PM
From: umbro  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
AMZN options report for 07/28/98
AMZN price: 118.938
Options Forecast for: AUG
put price: 107.58 OI = 16021 VOL = 1251
call price: 129.91 OI = 15558 VOL = 1637
consensus: 120.14 R = 1.0 R = 0.8
Options Forecast for: SEP
put price: 101.72 OI = 1435 VOL = 169
call price: 142.46 OI = 885 VOL = 189
consensus: 115.99 R = 1.6 R = 0.9
Options Forecast for: OCT
put price: 95.55 OI = 4327 VOL = 120
call price: 135.55 OI = 8257 VOL = 66
consensus: 125.89 R = 0.5 R = 1.8
Options Forecast for: JAN
put price: 89.97 OI = 2699 VOL = 40
call price: 144.63 OI = 2953 VOL = 48
consensus: 121.64 R = 0.9 R = 0.8
net long/short: 0.32 mil.
i.v. for AUG = 0.882
i.v. for SEP = 0.947
i.v. for OCT = 0.940
i.v. for JAN = 0.808

The trading volume in the August options was fairly light,
and there was some pick up in the Oct. options. The trading
vol. in Oct. options was noticeably bearish with a pick up
in the put/call ratio, but not an extreme level. The implied
vols. increased in the Sept. and Oct. options, and decreased
in the Jan's. Looks like the bearish traders have moved their
time horizon out a little past Aug.

I'd call today a consolidation day even though there was downward
bias. AMZN was pretty strong until it gave in late in the day,
probably affected by the overall market. I'd look to be a buyer
above 123 and a seller below 115, on the assumption that The Beast
breaks out of its normal pattern of range trading during the day.

There wasn't enough intraday volatility to trigger the scalp trades
that I mentioned yesterday. Neither the 115p's or the 130c's hit
the limits that I mentioned yesterday.
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