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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: Bonnie Bear who wrote (22605)7/28/1998 10:32:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Hi Bonnie; I've been focused on the Nifty Fifty a lot, and I just
glance at the small cap index and some SmlCap funds but I don't
have much of an idea of how they are being played.

I could get the short interest downloads and see how that has
been played in the last three months. I use to do that but got
out of it. There is just so much time in a day and I can't
seem to track half of what I would like to.

At one time I did find a correlation between total short interest
and market moves, but the data was always old so all I got was
history with no way of knowing the up to date short interest
I dropped it.
Increasing short interest seemed to drive the market
up, and decreasing down. But I never sorted them via market
cap , or looked at that angle via sectors. Just the total and
which stocks I was interested in.

I have no idea why the small caps are so beat up, neglected would
be a better word. As it gets down to my conviction that you need
more buyers than sellers for stocks just to hold their level, every trade takes a slice out of the stocks value via the spread , 50/50
only gets you a lower price , it's more the lack of buyers than
the amount of sellers if you look at it from that angle;
the market has to have it's cut. <G>
They will just swim underwater till some new money finds
it's way down stream.
Jim

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