SAN FRANCISCO -- Applied Materials Inc. Chief Executive James C. Morgan said Thursday that he sees supply and demand coming into balance next year in the market for dynamic random-access memory, or DRAM, chips.
Reaching this balance will push the industry to begin adding capacity again, Mr. Morgan said at the BancAmerica Robertson Stephens Semiconductor Conference here. For almost two years, the industry has had excess capacity, and that has pushed up inventories and pushed down prices. The effect on companies such as Applied Materials, a supplier of equipment for making semiconductors, has been slower product orders.
Mr. Morgan said the expected business from DRAM companies will be one of several dynamics driving growth at equipment companies. Other drivers will be stabilization in Asia and the expansion of the Internet, which will increase the demand for chips over the next couple of years.
C. Scott Kulicke, chairman and chief executive of Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc., said the semiconductor-equipment industry's rebound will be slow.
"We believe this is the bottom," Mr. Kulicke said. "It couldn't get much worse. But the recovery will be slow ... [and] it will be a tough period in the meantime." Kulicke & Soffa, a maker of semiconductor-assembly equipment, won't see any significant upturn in orders for a year, he said.
Earlier this month, the Semiconductor Industry Association reported that global chip sales plummeted 12.7% in May as sales fell in all major markets due to the lingering effects of the Asian financial crisis.
The report is consistent with the group's forecast of a 1.8% decrease in total chip revenue by year's end. |