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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 228.68-2.7%Nov 11 3:59 PM EST

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To: Jeffrey D who wrote (22339)7/31/1998 1:49:00 PM
From: Katherine Derbyshire  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Please don't take this personally, Jeff, but I always worry when I see someone saying, simultaneously,

"In short, I feel it is the undisputed leader in a growth
industry and will continue to be for many years to come."

And

"He [Morgan] understands his industry infinitely better than I do and if you believe in
the future of AMAT {I presume that is why the majority of us are on this thread}
then you have to take what he says very seriously."

In other words, you are buying a company you don't understand in an industry you don't understand on the strength of the CEO's sales pitch and your gut feeling about its leadership and management.

Now, I'm not saying AMAT isn't a good company. It will almost certainly lead the sector up out of its doldrums. I'm just saying that blind faith in any technology company can be very hazardous to your wallet. IBM was a "sure thing" in the 80s, too, and it took the stock 10 years to get back to its 1987 peak.

Caveat investor.

Katherine
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