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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Bull RidaH who wrote (23039)8/2/1998 1:28:00 PM
From: Philipp  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
David: Thank you for your analysis; I seem to have misread
your underlying assessment. Your various resistance level will be
very useful; they pretty much agree with the resistance levels I
see in the chart. Once the 1070 (SPX) range is broken, I feel
that the market may go into panic mode since this violates the
buy-the-dip paradigm of recent years, and so I am not sure whether
the otherwise strong resistance just below 1000 will provide
more than a short respite.

People are often comparing the present situation to 1987. It
seems to me that the market now is much more overvalued than it
was at that time. Therefore I would expect a 87-like correction as
the minimum correction to be expected. Most crashes also seem to
have more than one sharp leg down (often separated by an
extended period with a flat or rising trend, during which the
fundamentals deteriorate in part because of the initial
decrease). Where do you and others see the really long-term
support level? 550? 600?

Cheers,

Phil
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