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Biotech / Medical : VD's Model Portfolio & Discussion Thread

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To: Vector1 who wrote (5414)8/3/1998 2:17:00 AM
From: Rocketman  Read Replies (2) of 9719
 
I don't know much about these patents. But, I do recall what Roy Whitfield said at the INCY annual meeting, essentially that there is no single overriding patent in this area, that Synteni has a strong patent position with more to issue and that AFFX has a strong patent position and that basically each company needs to be able to ultimately use the others patents. He really seemed to imply that they will negotiate a settlement at some point. I think the delay might be that the companies are waiting for the latest stuff to issue from the PTO. There is also the AFFX/HYSEQ dispute to take into account too. Given that it seems that they need each other, I wouldn't expect a royalty situation as much as a cross licensing, but hey...what the hell do I know, I've never even looked at these patents.

I think the pricing component of the argument was interesting, but don't see how it would help INCY if they have to charge more so they can pay it to AFFX.

However, the tone of this article: "Affymetrix was recently granted a new patent (patent # 5,744,305) that puts it in a stronger position to win this dispute." belies an East Coast/European attitude....that there will be a winner, and hence a loser. This is Silicon Valley, land of the Win-Win attitude when it comes to deals. My guess is that they work out a deal that is great for both companies. They later say that it would be a win for both companies because INCY will be forced to charge more for their chips (so they can pay AFFX). Well, what if INCY can pay a royalty and still be cheaper because their processes to make the chips are cheaper than AFFX? They can really cleanup based on price and capability then, even though they'd have to feed Bucks to AFFX. They really are aiming for different market niches, at least initially. INCY/Synteni is going for more of the genomic analysis side of things based on long probes and AFFX is going for more of a clinical analysis side of things based on a short probe.

Plus, the first rule of patents is that they don't mean anything until they have survived a challenge.

My gut feeling on this is that it really isn't a major issue, and that an amicable resolution will be worked out without going to court. It isn't like these are bitter enemies. These companies continued to collaborate on other projects after the patent suit filings.

Have fun at Arrowhead and watch out for the mosquitoes @;->

Rman
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