Telephone Suppliers See Bounty in Brazil After Sale
totaltele.com
By Christian Plumb at Bloomberg News
31-JUL-98 Telephone-equipment makers such as Ericsson AB, Nokia Oyj, and Lucent Technologies Inc. are likely to be among the first to benefit from Brazil's $19 billion sale this week of its telephone network.
While telephone companies such as Spain's Telefonica SA paid two-thirds more than the government's asking price, <b?they'll have to spend another $52 billion in the next seven years to build and expand phone networks.
That means big business for the world's telephone-equipment suppliers.
"This market is going to explode," said Verner Dittmar, general director of telecommunications at Siemens AG's Brazil unit.
The results of the auction could be a boon to Ericsson.
"The Europeans got a lot of (Telebras)," said David Wheeler, an analyst with Bear Stearns & Co. in Sao Paulo. "Those are all big clients of Ericsson." Telefonica, Telecom Italia and Portugal Telecom SA were the biggest bidders in the auction.
Though increasing competition from the likes of Northern Telecom Ltd. could shrink Ericsson's market share in the area of cellular phones, the increase in investment will end up benefiting the company, he said.
Smaller companies could benefit too.
Miami-based Mastec Inc., which makes infrastructure for telecommunications and has a joint venture with one of the Brazilian
"Total telecom capex in Brazil could potentially double within a one-year time frame from $6 billion per year to $12 billion per year," said Morgan Stanley Dean Witter analyst Chris Gutek.
"Mastec's joint venture is well positioned to get some of this pending flood of construction spending." Mastec has been best-known for its ties to its former chairman, the late Jorge Mas Canosa, who was the leading anti-Castro activist in the US. His son, Jorge Mas Santos, is the company's president and chief executive officer. Mastec's Brazilian joint venture partner Inepar SA was part of the bidding group that acquired control of the huge Telebras unit spanning from the beaches of Rio de Janeiro to the rain forests of the Amazon.
The Telebras auction winners have so far given mixed signals on their intentions on who will get their equipment contracts. Telefonica said the same day as the Telebras auction that it planned to use France's Alcatel SA, the world's No. 4 telecommunications equipment maker as its wireless equipment provider worldwide. It's unclear who Telefonica will use to upgrade conventional phone networks.
Telefonica bought parts of three wireless networks, including a piece of the biggest, in Sao Paulo. Portugal Telecom director Luis Avelar said the company's main goal in upgrading the cellular network for Sao Paulo state, which it acquired for $3.1 billion, will be to cut down on the number of providers the state-controlled Telesp Celular SA used.
"Nec will be well placed, but I cannot tell you how we will pursue it in the future," he said.
Canada's Telesystem International Wireless Inc., which bought control of two cellular companies, will decide suppliers based on competitive bidding, said its spokesman. In the past in Brazil, the company has used Canada's Northern Telecom, but it's used a variety of suppliers in the rest of the world.
Manufacturers of telephones and related equipment expect sales to surge about 30% next year to about 13 billion reais, or almost double sales in 1997. The industry also is likely to generate about 100,000 new jobs in the next decade. Equipment makers already are scrambling for financing and talking with the companies that bid for Telebras, said Roberto Isnar, vice president of Abinee, an association of electrical and telecommunications equipment makers.
The growth should continue to fuel an already fast-growing industry.
Over the past five years, the telecommunications industry has grown faster than Brazil's economy. Between 1991 and 1996, the industry grew an average 14% a year, while the economy growth averaged 2.9%.
With only 11 telephones for every 100 inhabitants, the nation's telephone system has always hampered companies and elevated costs. For example, companies still pay more than 1,000 reais to buy a telephone line in Sao Paulo, Brazil's industrial heartland.
c Total Telecom 1998. All Rights Reserved. info@totaltele.com
Paris Data Limited, a UK-based consultancy and software development organisation, offer good practices for defining telecoms service level agreements.
Telecom Italia Mobile Names Libonati as New Chairman
AT&T Stops Ciena WDM Tests
Hermes Provides Carrier 1 with Interim Network
Telephone Suppliers See Bounty in Brazil After Sale
|