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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options
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To: FJV who wrote (49248)8/4/1998 8:03:00 PM
From: Stoctrash  Read Replies (1) of 58727
 
>>He is calling for a major league bull trap with this head fake rally - a very interesting call.>>

Hillarious if you asked me.....BULL TRAP,, LOL LOL!!!
I think there are too many people looking to SELL this NEXT Rally already.(like lisa, me, etc)

The move in June/Mid July was the BULL TRAP IMO.
Ask Donald,,...he was warning everyone that the rally had no MEAT!!!!

"The FEAR is HERE... the BOTTOM is NEAR."

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More LIM

Q: What happens when major US indexes post large back-to-back losses during the second half of the year?
A: 2 days later, the Dow is over 5% lower in 73% of 23 past occurrences.




Let variable values:
theSec = DJIA

Date Day 2

10/04/1929 Fri 6.098
10/25/1929 Fri -23.621
09/26/1930 Fri -3.925
10/17/1930 Fri -0.518
11/07/1930 Fri -0.619
07/17/1931 Fri 2.868
09/11/1931 Fri -5.958
09/25/1931 Fri -9.157
11/20/1931 Fri 0.664
11/25/1932 Fri -0.017
10/15/1937 Fri -6.370
12/19/1941 Fri -1.792
08/06/1943 Fri 0.479
09/06/1946 Fri -7.035
11/12/1948 Fri 1.305
10/07/1955 Fri -3.481
08/26/1966 Fri -0.620
11/09/1973 Fri -1.913
08/23/1974 Fri -2.222
10/04/1974 Fri 3.091
10/27/1978 Fri -1.686
10/19/1979 Fri -0.964
10/16/1987 Fri -18.058
07/31/1998 Fri NaN

Avg -3.193
AvgPos 2.418
AvgNeg -5.174
PctPos 26.087
PctNeg 73.913
Maximum 6.098
Minimum -23.621
StdDev 6.607
ZStat -0.483
Variance 43.653

24 Occurrences




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