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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash
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To: Zach E. who wrote (3077)8/4/1998 8:44:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (2) of 5676
 
Zach there are no signs at the moment just hints. If there were signs everybody would be bullish on gold, not bearish.

To be a good trader or bottom fisher you have too find those little hints and sniff em out like a bloodhound before the rest of the pack gets on to it.

It's just common sense that when historical means get this far out of whack they re-adjust.

It's just too lopsided to have the dollar so high and the trade deficit so big. In the 30's it was Smoot Hawley, in the 90's tariffs are politically incorrect, you just devalue your currency - just a matter of time for the dollar.

We got a Dow Theory sell signal today. The Stock Market and the Dollar move pretty much in step. A devalued stock market will mean a devalued dollar.

Gold has been mistakenly viewed as an inflation hedge, it's actually performed much better as a deflation hedge. In the 30's the best performing index was the South African Miners (and I own a few right now - hopefully at the bottom @ an 80% off sale -ggg-)

This Harry Dent and his Great Boom Baloney. Does anybody really (but a complete gREAteR FoOl) think the business cycle has been repealed?

The Asian contagion is washing ashore. On the local level we won't start feeling it for 3-9 months, but the stock market as a leading indicator is bleeping red alert to that fact as of todays Dow Theory Sell Signal.

bb
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