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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (27211)8/6/1998 11:47:00 AM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (2) of 95453
 
Even though these companies have current backlogs, that can change quickly as people shelve projects. This has happened many times in the semi industry, where book to bills have dropped in a big hurry due to chip price weakness.

The current backlog is not a guarantee that next quarter's backlog will be the same.

I still don't believe we have hit the irrational hysteria level. The selling, though constant, has been orderly over the last few months and in response to the sustained low oil prices.

The bright spot, IMO, is that within a few weeks we should get a better handle on OPEC compliance. If the producing companies stick close to their commitments, we could start the reversal process.

Just my opinion,
Michael
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