Skinner came back into the States this evening. I do not know why he would come back beyond announcing something. Otherwise, he should be in Europe getting business started. I will be looking for some news tomorrow.
Nothing else new to report at this time, since many of my questions are still pending answers. I know that the CFG has many questions for Skinner themselves. Even they have been unable to have contact with Skinner in the last week or so. I have no idea what has happened in the last week regarding demonstrating the system to various companies. Perhaps we may hear something tomorrow.
Miller
Well, there is this little nugget that I found: searchz.com
"In a previous article for ClickZ last March, I talked about the "user penetration percentage" as being an important indicator of the relative maturity of national internet markets.
My premise was based on two things: a comparison between US and European data and statistics from a free Jupiter Communications report from last fall. That report pointed out that it was when more than 10 percent of US households went online that content sites began to attract significant ad revenue.
Jupiter has recently come out with a second report on Europe, which re-states that point for the market here, as well. There is no doubt that 10 percent of European households would be an attractive market size for advertisers. But waiting for all those households to go online may be like waiting for a Paris snow in July.
It might be better to look at the percentage of users online, and to take a peek at their online commerce experience. That's where you can see the significant differences between Europe and the US, and even between the different European countries.
Think about it a bit. Most European users spend more time accessing the internet from work than from their home (except in France). So it is a bit of a fallacy to base usage predictions on households rather than users.
Here A Target, There A Target.
In my view, the consumer is just as valid a target at the office as at home. But even user populations aren't the deciding factor, I've found.
Much of the analysis we have done for our clients finds there is another element that greatly affects an advertiser's online business profitability - the population's experience with online commerce.
If you are an international marketer looking at Europe, waiting for 10 percent of European households to get online might lead to a serious loss of a lot of opportunity, learning, mind-share and revenue.
A Very Attractive Market
Sure, 10 percent of households would be a very attractive market. In fact, it would be a pretty big market. If you were to include Scandinavia, Ireland, the UK and Finland with the European countries, you have about 150.4 million households, 10 percent of which would represent about 33.8 million people. That's almost 2 times the number of people online in Europe today.
But that also assumes that you need so-many users because the key driver of the internet is advertiser-supported content; when, in fact, in Europe, e-commerce is the key driver. The Europeans aren't dumb - they've watched American online publishers hemorrhage money for a couple of years now. Most are far more interested in making money on the web through commerce rather than content.
The question might better be posed as, "At what point can advertisers use the internet to make money?" In the case of Europe, it seems that clever companies don't have to wait for 10 percent household penetration.
In fact, if they operate in countries with a long history of online commerce activity -- like France or Spain or Germany -- their payback can come much sooner. And the sooner companies are making money on the web -- or saving it through cost reductions, increased customer retention or incremental margins -- the more they will be able to spend on online advertising.
According to Nua , a survey conducted in May by MORI (one of the larger UK-based market research companies) found that nearly 25 percent of those companies who have access to the web in Europe are making a profit in online commerce. MORI surveyed 900 business directors from large, medium and small businesses. Half of them said they were confident that e-commerce was the best option for their future business. Participants included companies in Germany, Italy, Spain, Holland, France and the UK.
The 900 respondent sample size, when divided by six countries, is a bit small to be completely accurate in reflecting the state of e-commerce in each country. But MORI data indicated that 46 percent of companies in Spain are conducting commerce online, 33 percent in France, and 20 percent in Germany. Companies in Italy, Holland and the UK were relatively less advanced regarding the number practicing e-commerce.
In Europe, 58 percent of all businesses online in the countries surveyed told MORI that they had made savings through investing in their online sales team. And 60 percent of those businesses with online access said they expect to do more business online in the future. Fully a quarter of them were already profitable.
I'd say that's a good indication that many other international internet marketers, whether they are in the US, Europe or elsewhere, could be doing a surprisingly profitable business on the web in Europe today if they pay attention to where and how to do so.
Suzan Nolan is President of bluesky international marketing, whose mission is to help companies understand and exploit the internet marketplace in Europe. Bluesky performs competitive benchmarking and analysis combined with cross-border marketing expertise to help companies determine not only what they need to do, and where they need to do it, but how they can do it better than the competition.
An American, Suzan has extensive experience in pan-European advertising, loyalty marketing and communications. She has worked between the US and Europe for more than ten years, and is dedicated to helping her clients optimize their internet investment in foreign markets." |