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Strategies & Market Trends : The Stock Market Bubble

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To: Les H who wrote (1078)8/10/1998 4:43:00 PM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (3) of 3339
 
Hello Les and fellow bubble-heads,
Trying to make some sense out of the rally last week. FWIW, here's my observations:

1) Rally started broad based. RUT and SOX showed life for first time in several weeks(Dead Cat bounce?). A/D and NH/NL showed sharp improvements.
2) Rally faltered today for all but the large-cap darlings and some speculative stocks. A/D and NH/NL returned to bearish trend.
3) If last tuesday was bottom- we never made it back to the 200 day MA on the NAZ for the 2nd consecutive bottom.
4) July 31 NAZ peak was only 3 months after previous peak. Prior to this latest 3 month cycle, peaks were 7, 8, and 8 months apart.
This indicates increasing volatility- The cycle can't shorten much more...
5) Rash of upgrades out this morning- Brokers doing their best to get public to "buy the dips".

Regards,
TW
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