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Technology Stocks : 2000 Date-Change Problem: Scam, Hype, Hoax, Fraud

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To: Bill Wexler who wrote (808)8/10/1998 9:33:00 PM
From: David Eddy   of 1361
 
Bill -

As far as the scientific facts are concerened, it is abundantly clear that hardware and software technology keeps marching forward at dizzying speed and the Y2K crisis is a complete hoax.

You've left out one additional element here... MANAGEMENT.

In my entire life, I've never seen a working two legged stool (hardware + software)... you need a third leg (management) for this stuff to stand upright.

The best shop I know of in North America is putting 30% of its available development manpower into their Y2K effort. And these guys are far more effective than 98% of shops around, since they've been at it (consciously managing the process of their software portfolio) for twenty years.

Most shops grow by random walk... if it works we run with it, if it fails, we try something else... never stopping to actually analyse why what works.

Knowing you don't believe any of this soft stuff... how many shops do you think can measure up on the SEI/CMM scale? Not just work groups, but the entire shop?

- David
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