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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: Alan Bell who wrote (6681)8/11/1998 3:59:00 PM
From: Math Junkie  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
Re: "A bear market is a fundamental change in the direction of the market that lasts from 6 months to 2+ years."

Ralph did not call for a bear market as defined above. In one of the interviews, he drew a distinction between a "cyclical" bear market, which he said was a decline of 20% which only lasts a few months and is followed by a continued bull trend, and a "secular" bear market, where the market declines 20% and stays down a long time. He said that what he was forecasting was a "cyclical" bear market. He was quite emphatic about the distinction.

I think his terminology is different from Bob's, so it is important to be clear on what he actually said (in case it matters).
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